NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (2024)

Why Pickswise Is The Home Of The Best Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2023 Season

There are just 18 weeks in the NFL regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, but NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sport amongst bettors. Our expert handicappers have decades of industry experience where they have honed in on their craft to provide the best insight, analysis, and value picks here at Pickswise. All of our NFL picks are completely free, including our picks straight up, and against the spread.

Free NFL Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over/under, NFL Parlays, NFL Prop Bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a bet type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to have a diverse range and bet on anything they feel is a value pick. Here at Pickswise, we’ll have something for everyone with our team of handicappers leaving no stone unturned ahead of every game in 2023.

Free NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect.

For Example

Philadelphia Eagles -7 – Philadelphia must win by 8 or more points to cover the spread.
Chicago Bears +7 – Chicago must win, or lose by 6 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Tie Scenario – If the game ended 27-20 to Philadelphia, the spread would be a tie, or a push and stakes would be returned.

A fun stat worth noting is that the team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

Free NFL Over / Under Picks

Another exciting way to still get in on the NFL action is with total wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. Already since sports betting has been legalized we’ve seen many occasions where a hail mary, missed FG or XP has cost over or unders bettors, so be prepared to be in for the long haul with your totals bets. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing expert insight into the game alongside NFL picks which will always include a pick on the over/under market in every game of the NFL season.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams are only looking to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread. Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of bettors like to keep it simple and take our expert NFL Money Line picks.

2023-24 NFL Schedule

This will be the 104th season in league history and is set to kick off with the NFL Kick-Off game on September 7th, hosted by the defending Super Bowl Champions Kansas City Chiefs, who host the Detroit Lions. The regular season will come to a conclusion on January 7th, 2024 with the NFL Playoffs scheduled to begin the following weekend on the 13th & 14th of January 2024. Super Bowl LVIII is scheduled for February 11th, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada, the home of the Arizona Cardinals.

NFL Picks This Week

You can find our latest NFL picks by week, all season long below:

Weekly NFL Picks
NFL Week 1 PicksNFL Week 2 Picks
NFL Week 3 PicksNFL Week 4 Picks
NFL Week 5 PicksNFL Week 6 Picks
NFL Week 7 PicksNFL Week 8 Picks
NFL Week 9 PicksNFL Week 10 Picks
NFL Week 11 PicksNFL Week 12 Picks
NFL Week 13 PicksNFL Week 14 Picks
NFL Week 15 PicksNFL Week 16 Picks
NFL Week 17 PicksNFL Week 18 Picks
NFL Wildcard Weekend Picks
NFL Divisional Round Picks
NFL Conference Championship Picks

Our NFL Football picks contain a pick on each of the three major markets available on NFL games, those being the money line, point spreads and points totals. These NFL Football picks will come alongside full analysis and the latest stats and trends to consider when betting and our confidence rating in those picks. You can also head to our NFL Football Best Bets page for the top plays on the week. Or looking for alternative football picks? then head to our College Football Picks page, where you’ll find the same level of coverage and expertise from the Pickswise handicapping team.

More Than Just NFL Football Picks

We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, College Football, and College Basketball. Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.

NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (1)

Statistical Approach to NFL Picks

It’s our goal to provide you with the best NFL picks in the market. Our expert handicappers are all specially selected and assessed prior to joining the team to ensure their analysis. experience and results are among the best in the industry. Each capper will put hours of research into each pick and many have built statistical models to find their moneyline, spread and over/under picks so you don’t have to. Check out all of our cappers’ free NFL picks here every week of the season.

Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor

NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (2024)

FAQs

What are the best NFL teams against the spread? ›

NFL Team ATS Trends - All Games, 2023
TeamATS RecordCover %
Tampa Bay12-7-063.2%
Las Vegas10-6-162.5%
Cleveland10-7-158.8%
Green Bay11-8-057.9%
28 more rows

How do you pick against the spread in the NFL? ›

For example, if the stronger team, or favorite, is a perceived six points better than a weaker team, the stronger will be given an NFL bet spread of -6.5. This means to “cover the spread” and win the bet, that team must win by more than six points.

What is the most accurate NFL prediction site? ›

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions. Dimers gives 🏈 fans the tools, computer analysis and expert data to excel at NFL betting in 2024.

What is the best site to get free sports picks? ›

Covers provides free picks covering the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFL, WNBA, college sports, and more. We make picks on many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.

Who covers the spread the most? ›

The New England Patriots have covered the most spreads by a team, covering the spread 390 times.
TEAMO/U REC
1Patriots380-377-9
249ers373-372-17
3Steelers358-386-10
4Packers400-352-5
24 more rows

Who wins against the spread? ›

“Against the spread” refers to betting on a team to perform better than the point spread set by the sportsbook. They must either win by a margin greater than the spread (for favorites) or lose by fewer points than the spread (for underdogs) for the bet to be successful.

How do you pick winners against the spread? ›

This means that if you want to bet on the top pick, they have to win the game by a margin greater than the spread for you to win. Conversely, if you're rooting for the weaker team, they either need to win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread. This betting method gives you more options to play with.

How do you beat the spread? ›

To “cover the spread”, a team must win by a final margin larger than the point spread or, in the case of an underdog, lose by fewer points than the spread (or win outright). However, it is fair to say that by some distance, the most popular point spreads are winning margin lines.

Who's favored to win, Chiefs or Ravens? ›

Baltimore is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Ravens vs. Chiefs odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 44.

What is the most accurate football prediction site? ›

EaglePredict is the best football prediction site in the world with over 89.9% accuracy rate in our football betting tips.

Where can I find the best NFL picks? ›

Bookies.com is the place to find all your NFL betting tips. From NFL expert picks and analysis to game previews and betting strategy, the talented team at Bookies goes deeper than anyone else to provide everything you need for betting on the best league in sports.

Who is the best NFL bettor? ›

Top NFL Cappers this Season by Profit
RankHandicapperWin PCT
1Totals Guru63.8%
2ASA64.3%
3Jack Jones59.1%
4Ray Monohan57.7%
23 more rows

What is the best football pick site? ›

Pick Dawgz is the go-to site for all sports betting needs whether it be free sports picks, parlays and predictions, betting odds, or expert handicappers making expert sports betting picks.

What is the free winning prediction site? ›

MeritPredict is the best football prediction website in the world. Meritpredict makes it easier for punters and football bettors to win their games. we provide accurate football prediction for free to visitors to help them win their bets.

Who is the best sports predictor? ›

AI Sports Betting Prediction Site Comparison
RankAI Sports Betting Prediction SitePrediction Accuracy
#1BetIdeasHigh
#2Leans.AIHigh
#3DeepBettingHigh
#4Infinity Sports AIHigh
1 more row
May 31, 2024

Who wins a tie against the spread? ›

In spread betting, a “tie” results in a push. Much like a voided moneyline bet, all bets that are graded as a push return the original principal to their bettors. It's not just football where you can find a push in sports betting.

What NFL team is the best against the run? ›

NFL Team Opponent Rushing Yards per Game
RankTeam2023
1Chicago86.4
2Detroit91.1
3New England93.2
4Tampa Bay93.5
12 more rows

Which NFL team has the best win loss ratio? ›

The Dallas Cowboys hold the highest regular season win–loss percentage (. 576), with a 562–413–6 record through the end of the 2023 season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers maintain the lowest regular season win–loss percentage (. 406), holding a 308–450–1 record through 2023.

How often do teams beat the spread? ›

Over the past 10 seasons, NFL regular-season favorites have gone 1206-1303-62 against the spread. That's a 48% win clip. Bettors who bet every single favorite over that time period would have a -5.9% ROI.

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