Today’s Best NRFI Picks For July 10th
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The 2024 MLB season is in full swing, and we are back to sweating the best NRFI bets today and offering NRFI betting strategy tips. Which games will have a run scored in the first inning, and which will not? Here are today’s best NRFI bets and free NRFI predictions we think you could make for Wednesday, July 10th.
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Over the last 11 weeks, our NRFI recommendations are 76-33. Is that good? We think that’s good. We swept our recommendations on Tuesday, going 2-0, bringing us to 31-3 over our last 34 bets and 76-33 over our previous 109 bets.
Today, we look to build on our success in the first-inning market. What are the best NRFI bets to make today? There are a lot of factors at play when it comes to these bets, so there is always a ton that goes into it. Let’s dive in.
Best NRFI Bets Today – Free NRFI Picks
NRFI Best Bet Today #1: Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants
The Blue Jays are averaging .40 runs in the first frame, which is the 22nd-worst mark in baseball, and we are going against them. So far this season, they are averaging .30 runs in the first frame on the road. The Giants are pitching right-hander Logan Webb, who has pitched well this season. He has a .343 xwOBA and a .289 xBA against the current Blue Jays’ roster.
The Giants put up .35 runs per first frame, which is even worse than the Blue Jays’ figure, and we are fading them today. They are averaging no runs in the first inning over their last three games, so we expect their lack of offense in the first to keep up. The Giants score .38 runs in the first at home, which is a slight increase. They are facing righty Chris Bassitt, who has a .321 xwOBA and a .222 xBA against the current Giants’ roster. We love this NRFI.
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NRFI Best Bet Today #2: Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres
The Mariners are averaging .43 uns in the first frame, which is 21st in baseball, and we are going against them. So far this season, they are averaging .51 runs on the road. The Padres have a hitter’s park, which is helping us get a better price. Michael King makes the start for the Padres, and he has a .262 xwOBA and a .207 xBA against the current Mariners roster.
The Padres put up .6 runs per first frame, which is near the top of the MLB, but we like them not to score in the first. They are averaging .67 runs in the first inning over their last three games, but this is a tough matchup. The Padres score .47 runs in the first at home, which is a slight drop-off, and we are fading. They are facing righty Bryce Miller, who is having a solid season. The Padres only have seven plate appearances against Miller, but in the small sample, Miller has a .191 xwOBA, making this a great NRFI.
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